I Shorted The Stock Market & Made $6k In One Day (Which Is The Only Way I’d Participate In The Stock Market)
I avoid the stock market like the plague, in 2022. However, I placed a $20k bet against the stock market, last week, which is the only way I’ll participate in the stock market at this point.
90% of those companies are bloated dinosaurs, who’ve been sitting on a bubble for a long time. And eventually dinosaurs sitting on a bubble POP the bubble.
SPXS is the fund I bought, and it increases at 3x the losses of the SP500, which is the top 500 companies of the S&P. A few days after I bought nearly 1,000 shares in SPXS, the market tanked and I made $6k.
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(I sold the gains, leaving my $20k still in there.)
I’m not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice. I’m just telling you what I did.
I’m going to watch and wait to see if the market rallies, and if it goes back up—and then, since I’m still betting on a very big market collapse, I’ll re-buy the $6k I just liquidated. I bought at slightly under $22, and sold at a bit over $28.
If Jerome Powell increases interest rates 75 basis points tomorrow, the market will likely tank even more. If he raises it only 50 basis points (0.5%), some think the market may hold steady. (I think even a 50 basis point increase could see the S&P tank again.)
I wouldn’t put a date on my guess that the market may collapse to a 50 to 80% lower value than it was at last week. But that is, in fact, what I think will happen. Yesterday, 6/13, saw the first big hit.
I think it’s totally appropriate, though painful, that the stock market get re-valued. At much, much lower. Based on the actual fundamentals and leadership and potential of these companies as we head into the oncoming Great Reset economy. I’ve had a big hairy eyeball on the stock market for a long time.
Its valuation defies all logic, and is “propped up” via artificial means, like many other parts of our Truman Show life, where Americans walk around thinking their white-picket-lined fences will last forever.
(This economy is an anomaly in history, where anything we want can arrive on our porch within 48 hours, with the click of a few buttons. And we can have things we cannot afford, thanks to a little plastic card. This economy where everything we own is mechanized, dependent on parts from countries thousands of miles away, where our relationships with them are coming to a grinding halt.)
The main foreign relationship, China, notably made 2022 the year they destroy the lives millions of their own people via various means. (28M people locked in their apartments in Shanghai for two months, anyone?)
All under the banner of “covid.” China knows they must thin the herd since they won’t be able to trade with us as the World Economic Forum thugs in their stylish suits fly in on their jets, and make plans to re-order the world to their liking.
Eventually, in the Truman Show, Jim Carrey’s character figures out he’s living in a fake world.
I figured out long ago that the “bubbles” our economy has been sitting on, are just fake artificial supports, and that they will fall down one day.
(Here’s an example: your meat and dairy products, the staples of the fad diets of the last 10 years? Side note: I might be paranoid, but I think that was all by design, that the fad diets get everybody addicted to eating mostly meat and dairy. All meat and dairy is so government price-supported, that very soon, when those price supports collapse, and they will--in combination with intentionally created shortages, your beef and chicken will be $30/lb, $40/lb, or $50/lb and higher. Essentially, a delicacy.)
In fact, that “recession” they say we had in 2008? We didn’t, really.
Obama threw trillions at it, to kick the can down the road into somebody else’s presidency. The pain of that last recession was delayed and is still staring us in the face, right now.
They finally found the right guy for that presidency. The presidency where the big rug-pull happens.
Because there’s no risk he’ll wake up and want to side with the people, and they knew it. He’d already lost his marbles and is perfectly content to just read scripted lies to the people, something akin to 1984’s Ministry of Truth. (That was Oceania’s bastion of propaganda, where they subverted the vocabulary, and reversed the meaning of everything—truth became lies, love became hate, etc.)
Our “president” was installed in his seat already deeply cognitively impaired, plus has never lived among the regular people in 50 years: he doesn’t even know he’s lying. He’s an asset they don’t have to worry about--completely managed.
I think that the day we pay the price for the many ways we’ve kicked cans down the road—is today. I’ve been saying for a long time that I’d rather prepare 2 years too early, than 1 day too late. You’re getting close to 1 day too late.
This Substack channel will share with you, a chunk at a time, how I’m preparing to live a first-world life as long as possible, inside the rapid slide into third-world conditions, and how you can, too (for a very brief time only).
As they kick the anthill over, you can be one of the ants running around at triple speed bumping into the other ants in the chaos. Looking for toothpaste, or $20.
Or you can just go somewhere else; find what you need; get ready for a long, hard ride; make friends with people not willing to continue the anthill phenomenon and actually face the crisis; and hunker down—easy for no one, but easier for you, because you think ahead.
I used to trade in stocks, but the last 2 ½ years, nobody is talking about how 90% of the companies in the S&P are losing money. Yeah, Wall Street soared while Main Street suffered, in the lockdowns of 2020, but that doesn’t mean the companies whose stocks soared were worth the prices they soared to.
If you had a clear-eyed view, you’d realize that a ton of these companies will be out of business, in the next few years.
The only stock market investment I’m willing to make is a fund where I’m betting on a massive loss in the stock market.
You might see this as a “hot tip,” and I actually think people who chase hot tips and don’t understand the markets they dabble in or the macro economy and the current crisis—are very vulnerable.
The current situation we find ourselves in has no precedent in history, so I have little patience for analysts who mansplain us with charts showing that the markets just go up, and down, and up, and down again. And say insipid things like “buy low, sell high.”
As if anything going on in 2022 has anything much to do with the past, really. The one constant is that people make investment decisions in a panic and are motivated by emotion.
So people chase hot tips and lose, instead of doing the work of learning how the economy is radically shifting.
What’s the “work?” A better strategy is to take a steely-eyed look at our realities, and spend the time necessary to understand concepts like sound money, decentralized finance and cryptocurrency opportunities to get out of the rat race (or anthill), and stop listening to the people who lie to us.
I am not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice. A year ago, I launched a Crypto / DeFi course, with a webinar in which I spent half the 90 minutes trying to convince you that the dollar is in freefall, and the economy is headed for a catastrophe.
Now I’ve re-recorded that webinar, to half its length, because I don’t have to explain to you anymore how the collapse of the economy is inevitable. Now it’s in process. Here’s the half-length webinar, on DeFi and Crypto.
I said I’m not a financial advisor. But I should also say, I’m not listening to my financial advisor anymore. In fact, I fired him a couple of years ago. He makes commissions on equities and funds. Even the “fiduciaries” are captured and are really just commissioned salesmen.
Good luck finding a licensed financial advisor who isn’t incentivized to sell you whatever products he’s trained in (by brokerages, etc.) that compensate him best. I don’t think I have to work too hard, to help you realize why that may not be in your financial best interests. Before you listen much, to people selling an investment, make sure you know how they make a living.
(In case you still believe these big banks are too big to fail, and impeccably honest: Charles Schwab just bilked investors out of their funds, and will probably have to pay $175B in fines, but they also made $1T or more, so it’s just another day at the office for them. These are the banksters. These are the organizations we have to protect ourselves from.)
I don’t trust their paper “funds” of silver and gold. When it comes to precious metals, if it’s not in my hand, I don’t trust it. And in fact, precious metals may be part of your strategy, but guess what—
--it was illegal to own gold when I was born. For a couple of decades, in fact. Your “patriotism” demanded that you go hand it in, to the government, or go to jail!
So much capital was deployed, and credit extended, during covid, for irresponsible reasons, that we have to pay the price now.
So if you’re an investor thinking, “I can’t find a place to hide,” you’re not alone. I lost my confidence in the 401k and even the stock market in general, some time ago. Sure, I could have made money in 2020 and 2021 in the stock market, but I wouldn’t have slept at night.
A lot of people with significant worth have cashed out and are sitting on the sidelines right now, with cash, trying to figure out where to go next, their retirement plans shattered.
I suppose you could invest in Blackrock or Vanguard, but they you have to be able to live with your conscience. (These soulless public corporations may own over 50% of America, but they’re the vehicle that will destroy all the small businesses. And I own a small business. So on a moral basis, I can’t make myself invest there.)
You could invest in Dogecoin, XRP, or Cardano—there’s a cultcoin or shitcoin or whatever you want to call it, out there, for every inexperienced investor who hangs out in communities that talk about “going to the moon.”
Seriously, if you’re going to get involved in crypto? The minute you hear someone talk about “going to the moon” or “lambo’ing”—RUN. Run away fast.
These are the speculators, the gamblers, the traders, who talk like that. The guys who lie awake in bed dreaming of how their $75 becomes $750,000 or $75M.
I understand their excitement and the need for hope—but they aren’t the teachers, they aren’t grounded. In fact, they get emotional and really angry if you touch their sacred-cow crypto projects.
Listen, for me? It’s just money. I try to stay as objective as possible. I’m not “all in” on ANY of it. I’ve been pitched on every kind of investment there is. If someone makes money pitching some project or investment, their opinion is already suspect. (Sadly, most people haven’t figured out that’s all their “financial advisor” is. Kind of like how they haven’t figured out their doctor sells drugs and technologies.)
Most of these crypto traders and YouTubers know NOTHING about sound money, they probably just started trading last year and had no net worth or track record of success before that, and they lack critical thinking skills. There are literally thousands of these people on YouTube and Telegram and beyond.
I don’t sell any crypto projects. I’m not developing my own NFT to try to sell you. I wouldn’t invest in 99% of the cryptos out there. I have a hard time even hanging out with “crypto people” because most of what they invest in, I just can’t get behind. They talk, but don’t listen much.
In fact, I’m even skeptical of how and where you buy, and where you store it. I’m as interested in educating you to avoid the frauds, as I am in telling you how I’ve invested and why.
So, if you want to learn from a 35-year investor who entered crypto warily and with cynicism, my webinar gives you the overview. The why. The comparison to other classes of investments.
And if you believe the stock market is a grossly inflated fraud like I do, watch for a possible rally starting today, 6/14. I’m not telling you what to do, but if it comes back up—me, I’m putting the whole enchilada back on SPXS, including the $6k I cashed out today.
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which broker did you use to trade SPXS? Vanguard does not allow buying an inverse product. :(